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How many copies did Sketchbots sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$478–$1k after Steam's cut $869–$2k before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sketchbots and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sketchbots's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k
best case 935k (Baba Is You)
Games like Sketchbots

A typical game among these

≈ 2k copies

≈ $4k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~59 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Baba Is You at ≈ 712k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 262.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Programming (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Logic + Automation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
419x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Electrogical
2026
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$7.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPuzzle
Code Wizard: Java Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$5.99
41 reviews
Positive
EducationProgramming
JOY OF PROGRAMMING - Software Engineering Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut
$17.99
396 reviews
Mostly Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
ComPressure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
68 reviews
Very Positive
AutomationProgramming
Infinite Turtles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$9.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingLogic
Word Factori
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
$5.99
480 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleProgramming
Bombe
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut
$9.99
385 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.