How much revenue did Melody/心跳旋律 make?

$5k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Melody/心跳旋律 sell?

Q: How many copies did Melody/心跳旋律 sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 168 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut; from 168 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melody/心跳旋律 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melody/心跳旋律's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 267k–473k

best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)

Games like Melody/心跳旋律

A typical game among these

≈ 267k–473k copies

≈ $390k–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Sexual Content + Cute + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
McOsu 2017	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
Intralism 2016	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime
Audiosurf 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 295k–480k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Quaver 2022	Est. copies ≈ 425k–691k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
MUSYNX 2018	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut	$3.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
音灵 INVAXION 2018	Est. copies ≈ 188k–305k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Mixed	MusicRhythm