How much revenue did Rail of Möbius make?

$44k–$118k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rail of Möbius sell?

Q: How many copies did Rail of Möbius sell?

12k to 20k copies, based on its 495 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12k–20k; $44k–$118k after Steam's cut $80k–$181k before Steam's cut; from 495 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rail of Möbius and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rail of Möbius's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 51k–64k

best case 1.5M (STEINS;GATE)

Games like Rail of Möbius

A typical game among these

≈ 51k–64k copies

≈ $154k–$685k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: STEINS;GATE at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
her tears were my light 2022	Est. copies ≈ 21k–35k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut	$2.99	862 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelLGBTQ+
Raging Loop 2017	Est. copies ≈ 390k–634k 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
STEINS;GATE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
STEINS;GATE 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 259k–421k 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$34.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
STEINS;GATE: Linear Bounded Phenogram 2019	Est. copies ≈ 39k–64k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
STEINS;GATE ELITE 2019	Est. copies ≈ 49k–79k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
ISLAND 2018	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Pesterquest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 45k–74k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $149k–$402k after Steam's cut $272k–$618k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Very Positive	IndieAdventure