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How many copies did Maniac sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–76k
$64k–$172k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Maniac and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Maniac's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–13k
best case 130k (OTXO)
Games like Maniac

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–13k copies

≈ $5k–$86k after Steam's cut

from ~102 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: OTXO at ≈ 99k–160k copies, ≈ $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 503 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $15.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$88k–$236k after Steam's cut $159k–$362k before Steam's cut
$12.99
989 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
OTXO
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99k–160k
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTop-Down Shooter
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$2.99
218 reviews
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Free
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≈ 347–564
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Action RoguelikeArtificial Intelligence
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Est. copies
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CasualAdventure
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Est. copies
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CasualPinball
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Est. copies
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.