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How many copies did Nurose sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
from 95 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nurose and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nurose's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 365k–1.6M
best case 4.2M (Splitgate)
Games like Nurose

A typical game among these

≈ 365k–1.6M copies

≈ $4.6M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Splitgate at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and FPS (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Arena Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.4x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.