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How many copies did Demeo sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50k–82k
$554k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Demeo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Demeo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 210k–541k
best case 1.4M (Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition)
Games like Demeo

A typical game among these

≈ 210k–541k copies

≈ $1.9M–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3.2x vs typical
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SingleplayerAction RPG
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