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How big is Evil Inside - Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 26k–42k
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evil Inside - Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evil Inside - Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–6.3M
best case 10.5M (Metro 2033 Redux)
Games like Evil Inside - Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–6.3M copies

≈ $33.0M–$58.8M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Metro 2033 Redux at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Killing Floor
2009
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSZombies
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Shadow of Chernobyl
2007
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.7M–$45.0M after Steam's cut $30.4M–$69.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPost-apocalyptic
GTFO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's cut $45.9M–$104.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Prey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiImmersive Sim
Metro 2033 Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut $79.6M–$181.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
142k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS

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