How much revenue did Hollow Witch make?

$782–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hollow Witch sell?

Q: How many copies did Hollow Witch sell?

570 to 927 copies, based on its 23 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 570–927; $782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 23 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hollow Witch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hollow Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 195–781

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Hollow Witch

A typical game among these

≈ 195–781 copies

≈ $242–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 18 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Precision Platformer (6 of 8) and Souls-like (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 6777x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
La-Mulana 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 33k–54k 50x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $228k–$613k after Steam's cut $414k–$943k before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureMetroidvania
Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla 2018	Est. copies ≈ 91–148 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $75–$202 after Steam's cut $136–$310 before Steam's cut	$2.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	Top-Down ShooterDungeon Crawler
Neither Day nor Night 2020	Est. copies ≈ 620–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	25 reviews Mixed	AdventurePrecision Platformer
Goat's Tale Adventure 2024	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $299–$803 after Steam's cut $543–$1k before Steam's cut	$1.99	22 reviews Mostly Positive	DifficultPsychological Horror
Bunny Flush 2021	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut	$1.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	CasualAdventure
Pal Up! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $625–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$3.99	23 reviews Mostly Positive	Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
Pudding Frog 2025	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $326–$878 after Steam's cut $593–$1k before Steam's cut	$5.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	IndiePrecision Platformer