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How many copies did Goat's Tale Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$299–$803 after Steam's cut $543–$1k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Goat's Tale Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Goat's Tale Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–15k
best case 58k (Micro Platformer)
Games like Goat's Tale Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–15k copies

≈ $3k–$15k after Steam's cut

from ~173 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Micro Platformer at ≈ 44k–71k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 205.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychological Horror (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Psychological Horror.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ascent
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.99
100 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Goat's Tale (Classic)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$1.99
335 reviews
Very Positive
How I learned to Skate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
29 reviews
Positive
Micro Platformer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Eggy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
45 reviews
Positive
NoRoY
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$938–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
46 reviews
Positive
Banana Hell
2020
Est. copies
≈ 21k–35k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut
$2.99
865 reviews
Mixed
IndieCasual
Aim Climb
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$6.80
246 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.