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How many copies did Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91–148
$75–$202 after Steam's cut $136–$310 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 364k–810k
best case 7.4M (Path of Exile 2)
Games like Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla

A typical game among these

≈ 364k–810k copies

≈ $1.7M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile 2 at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 769 to 102k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (6 of 8) and Action RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Hack and Slash + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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3.1x vs typical
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Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
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CuteSouls-like
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Dungeon CrawlerFirst-Person
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Early AccessAction Roguelike
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≈ 287k–467k
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$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
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