How much revenue did Tempest Rising make?

$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tempest Rising sell?

Q: How many copies did Tempest Rising sell?

299k to 487k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 299k–487k; $3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tempest Rising and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tempest Rising's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–4.1M

best case 6.9M (Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition)

Games like Tempest Rising

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–4.1M copies

≈ $12.3M–$61.5M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (8 of 8) and RTS (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with RTS + City Builder, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance 2011	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires® III (2007) 2012	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection 2020	Est. copies ≈ 870k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm 2008	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim