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How many copies did Primal Survivors sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Primal Survivors and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Primal Survivors's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 594k–2.3M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Primal Survivors

A typical game among these

≈ 594k–2.3M copies

≈ $2.1M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Vampire + Indie + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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1.8x vs typical
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Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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