How much revenue did Dragon Creek make?

$15k–$41k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dragon Creek sell?

Q: How many copies did Dragon Creek sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 149 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut; from 149 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon Creek and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon Creek's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–47k

best case 1.5M (ROUNDS)

Games like Dragon Creek

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–47k copies

≈ $35k–$464k after Steam's cut

from ~414 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Time Management (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ROUNDS at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 711 reviews in their first month; the range was 101 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Time Management (4 of 8) and Life Sim (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Fighting + Local Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ROUNDS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 108x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$5.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerFighting
Forest Heroes 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$83k before Steam's cut	$9.99	296 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessStrategy
Retirement Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 97k–158k 9.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	4k reviews Mostly Negative	Early AccessSimulation
Ark of Charon 2024	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $71k–$190k after Steam's cut $128k–$292k before Steam's cut	$24.99	414 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
Office Life 2024	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $291k–$783k after Steam's cut $529k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Story RichLife Sim
Card Creator 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $213k–$572k after Steam's cut $387k–$879k before Steam's cut	$39.99	562 reviews Mixed	TabletopCard Game
Katy and Bob Way Back Home 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $17k–$47k after Steam's cut $31k–$72k before Steam's cut	$14.99	122 reviews Very Positive	StrategyCasual
Shokudo Underworld 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut	$5.99	281 reviews Very Positive	CasualCute