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How many copies did Ark of Charon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
$71k–$190k after Steam's cut $128k–$292k before Steam's cut
from 414 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ark of Charon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ark of Charon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 779k–1.4M
best case 1.4M (Kingdoms and Castles)
Games like Ark of Charon

A typical game among these

≈ 779k–1.4M copies

≈ $3.6M–$9.3M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kingdoms and Castles at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (5 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Colony Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Bad North: Jotunn Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
WargameVikings
Kingdom: Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
The Riftbreaker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingTower Defense
Kingdom: New Lands
2016
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Craft The World
2014
Est. copies
≈ 961k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before Steam's cut
$18.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MilitaryCity Builder

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.