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How many copies did Retirement Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 97k–158k
$374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Retirement Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Retirement Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–16.6M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Retirement Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 7.8M–16.6M copies

≈ $106.0M–$214.7M after Steam's cut

from ~273k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 200k reviews in their first month; the range was 43k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
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163k reviews
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RimWorld
2018
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≈ 7.6M–12.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
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Colony SimBase-Building
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy

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