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How many copies did Scraplers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$191–$512 after Steam's cut $347–$788 before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scraplers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scraplers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.7M–27.5M
best case 40.1M (Project Zomboid)
Games like Scraplers

A typical game among these

≈ 18.7M–27.5M copies

≈ $83.9M–$362.2M after Steam's cut

from ~429k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Project Zomboid at ≈ 30.5M–49.6M copies, ≈ $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 265 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Kenshi
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
117k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSandbox
Dead District: Survival
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$9.99
500 reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMultiplayer
There Are Dinosaurs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$1.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
SimulationClicker
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Polygeddon
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
75 reviews
Mixed
ZombiesPost-apocalyptic

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.