How much revenue did Paladin's Lance make?

$81–$219 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paladin's Lance sell?

Q: How many copies did Paladin's Lance sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; $81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paladin's Lance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paladin's Lance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 285–23k

best case 3.8M (Dragon's Dogma 2)

Games like Paladin's Lance

A typical game among these

≈ 285–23k copies

≈ $659–$179k after Steam's cut

from ~316 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Dragon's Dogma 2 at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 71 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 82k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dragons (8 of 8) and Fantasy (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Action RPG, priced around $40.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Dragon's Dogma 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 372x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mixed	Open WorldRPG
Elmarion: Dragon's Princess 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$10.99	68 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRPG
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