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How many copies did Elmarion: Dragon time sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
from 564 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Elmarion: Dragon time and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Elmarion: Dragon time's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–15k
best case 599k (Century: Age of Ashes)
Games like Elmarion: Dragon time

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–15k copies

≈ $9k–$104k after Steam's cut

from ~237 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Century: Age of Ashes at ≈ 456k–741k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 46 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 9k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dragons (7 of 8) and Flight (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dragons + Team-Based. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + PvP + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Elmarion: Dragon's Princess
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$10.99
68 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$85k–$230k after Steam's cut $155k–$354k before Steam's cut
$19.99
627 reviews
Mostly Positive
CombatOpen World
Century: Age of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
78x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayDragons
DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$233k before Steam's cut
$29.99
237 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureDragons
Dragonflight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
134 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Time of Dragons
2016
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
DragonsFree to Play
Fire and Steel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$6.99
250 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSimulation
Wilderless: Meadowfell
2025
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$7.99
27 reviews
Positive
Open WorldCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.