How many copies did Dragonflight sell?

5k to 7k copies, based on its 134 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Dragonflight make?

Dragonflight is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Dragonflight?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 5k–7k; from 134 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragonflight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragonflight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33–832

best case 11k (SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale)

Games like Dragonflight

A typical game among these

≈ 33–832 copies

≈ $370–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $44k–$119k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 20.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and VR (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fun Christmas Santa VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$9.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	AdventureSimulation
Dragon Rider 2015	Est. copies ≈ 0 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	0 reviews No user reviews	ActionEarly Access
SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 31x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$183k before Steam's cut	$19.99	265 reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Beast Pets 2019	Est. copies ≈ 605–983 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$9.99	21 reviews Positive	CasualSimulation
No King No Kingdom VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 719–1k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$9.99	29 reviews Mixed	ActionStrategy
Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR 2022	Est. copies ≈ 273–443 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut	$3.99	11 reviews Positive	SimulationDragons
Xpraize Beta 2022	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $103–$273 after Steam's cut $187–$420 before Steam's cut	$14.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	RPGVR
Komodo 3K Arena 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $48–$127 after Steam's cut $87–$196 before Steam's cut	$6.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	ActionSimulation