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How many copies did Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33–2k
best case 11k (SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale)
Games like Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR

A typical game among these

≈ 33–2k copies

≈ $330–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~14 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $44k–$119k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 20.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and VR (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fun Christmas Santa VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
AdventureSimulation
Beast Pets
2019
Est. copies
≈ 605–983
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$9.99
21 reviews
Positive
CasualSimulation
SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$183k before Steam's cut
$19.99
265 reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
No King No Kingdom VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
29 reviews
Mixed
ActionStrategy
Xpraize Beta
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103–$273 after Steam's cut $187–$420 before Steam's cut
$14.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
RPGVR
Dragon Rider
2015
Est. copies
≈ 0
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
0 reviews
No user reviews
ActionEarly Access
Dragonflight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
134 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Komodo 3K Arena
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48–$127 after Steam's cut $87–$196 before Steam's cut
$6.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionSimulation

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