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How many copies did SinSeed sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
from 58 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SinSeed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SinSeed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 139–326
best case 651 (CRAST)
Games like SinSeed

A typical game among these

≈ 139–326 copies

≈ $130–$267 after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: CRAST at ≈ 496–806 copies, ≈ $817–$2k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + FPS, priced around $6.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PolyRoyale
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Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut
$1.99
10 reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleShooter
SwordSpin: Arena of Blades
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≈ 25–40
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Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
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1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualAdventure
Tavolga-12
2022
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≈ 50–81
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Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
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2 reviews
2 user reviews
Early AccessFPS
多边星球 Multilateral Planet
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Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$122–$329 after Steam's cut $222–$506 before Steam's cut
$1.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Action-AdventureSurvival Horror
SAVAGE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $61–$140 before Steam's cut
$0.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
AdventureAction
CRAST
2025
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
20 reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleFPS
Phantom Ops
2025
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut
$1.99
10 reviews
Mixed
ActionAction-Adventure
Forbidden zone
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Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
$4.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Arena ShooterLooter Shooter

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