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How many copies did Tavolga-12 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tavolga-12 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tavolga-12's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.5M–24.1M
best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like Tavolga-12

A typical game among these

≈ 7.5M–24.1M copies

≈ $76.7M–$292.7M after Steam's cut

from ~318k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
158k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$101.9M–$273.9M after Steam's cut $185.2M–$421.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
374k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World

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