How much revenue did Neon make?

$8k–$21k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Neon sell?

Q: How many copies did Neon sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 69 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut; from 69 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–8k

best case 1.2M (Peggle Deluxe)

Games like Neon

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–8k copies

≈ $1k–$28k after Steam's cut

from ~65 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Peggle Deluxe at ≈ 921k–1.5M copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 102.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Arcade, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry 2D + Casual + Addictive; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Peggle Deluxe 2007	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M 226x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualPuzzle
Tantal 2020	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before Steam's cut	$0.99	19 reviews Positive	CasualAdventure
Petal Crash 2020	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut	$9.99	292 reviews Very Positive	IndiePuzzle
Zuma Deluxe 2006	Est. copies ≈ 433k–703k 106x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Match 3Puzzle
Gangsta Magic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$4.99	42 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureAction
Hero Puzzle 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	80 reviews Mixed	CasualAdventure
Reflection of Mine 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut	$8.99	250 reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorPuzzle-Platformer
Sly Slime 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $665–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$1.99	49 reviews Positive	CasualPuzzle