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How big is No.L85?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 471–766
from 19 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid No.L85 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including No.L85's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–13.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like No.L85

A typical game among these

≈ 5.3M–13.3M copies

≈ $61.7M–$284.2M after Steam's cut

from ~142k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Insurgency: Sandstorm
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Ravenfield
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSWar
Robocraft
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRobots
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II

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