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How many copies did Aruna sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aruna and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aruna's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–114k
best case 498k (Webbed)
Games like Aruna

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–114k copies

≈ $269k–$455k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Webbed at ≈ 380k–617k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 593 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Platformer + Physics + Puzzle-Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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MinimalistIndie
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too small to compare
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Choose Your Own Adventure2D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.