How much revenue did Mess Adventures 2 make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mess Adventures 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Mess Adventures 2 sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 98 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut; from 98 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mess Adventures 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mess Adventures 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 484k–1.6M

best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)

Games like Mess Adventures 2

A typical game among these

≈ 484k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.2M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Puzzle-Platformer + Physics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Moonbase Alpha 2010	Est. copies ≈ 813k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	13k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSimulation
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Turnip Boy Commits Tax Evasion 2021	Est. copies ≈ 348k–566k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationPuzzle
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 383k–623k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature
West of Loathing 2017	Est. copies ≈ 355k–577k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$10.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGComedy
HuniePop 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	NudityMature
Surgeon Simulator 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny