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How many copies did Ragdoll: Fall Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 98 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ragdoll: Fall Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ragdoll: Fall Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–4.8M
best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like Ragdoll: Fall Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–4.8M copies

≈ $17.1M–$37.7M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 44 to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Destruction (8 of 8) and Physics (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction
Brick Rigs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.0M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxDestruction
Hardspace: Shipbreaker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSci-fi
Catlateral Damage: Remeowstered
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$154k before Steam's cut
$14.99
363 reviews
Very Positive
CatsSimulation

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