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How many copies did Return sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before Steam's cut
from 215 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Return and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Return's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–213k
best case 1.2M (RoboCop: Rogue City)
Games like Return

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–213k copies

≈ $169k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: RoboCop: Rogue City at ≈ 931k–1.5M copies, ≈ $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 395 reviews in their first month; the range was 181 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Dystopian (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + First-Person, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Shooter + Gore; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before Steam's cut
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Puzzle-Platformer2D Platformer
RoboCop: Rogue City
2023
Est. copies
≈ 931k–1.5M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Very Positive
BROK the InvestiGator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$177k–$477k after Steam's cut $322k–$733k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
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Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68k–$183k after Steam's cut $123k–$281k before Steam's cut
$14.99
664 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
INDUSTRIA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 108k–176k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$595k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction
PEPPERED: an existential platformer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$197k after Steam's cut $133k–$304k before Steam's cut
$14.99
718 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics

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