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How many copies did Fractal Block World sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 40k–65k
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fractal Block World and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fractal Block World's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–507k
best case 4.6M (S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl)
Games like Fractal Block World

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–507k copies

≈ $33k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 88k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and FPS (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + FPS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shark Attack Deathmatch 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorArena Shooter
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
110x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut $105.1M–$239.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldFPS
Way of the Hunter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 281k–457k
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHunting
Black Ice
2014
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$208k–$559k after Steam's cut $378k–$860k before Steam's cut
$19.99
675 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessExploration
The Outer Worlds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction RPG
Anopek
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$6.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaShooter
Precursors
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
$14.99
117 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationHero Shooter
The End of Dyeus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$14.99
184 reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureShooter

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