How much revenue did Black Ice make?

$208k–$559k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Black Ice sell?

Q: How many copies did Black Ice sell?

38k to 61k copies, based on its 675 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 38k–61k; $208k–$559k after Steam's cut $378k–$860k before Steam's cut; from 675 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Ice and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Ice's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 447k–717k

best case 16.0M (Palworld)

Games like Black Ice

A typical game among these

≈ 447k–717k copies

≈ $4.3M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Creature Collector + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M 29x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Ghosts of Tabor 2023	Est. copies ≈ 260k–423k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAction
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 464k–755k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDriving
EVERSPACE™ 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ShooterSpace
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 574k–933k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationCrime
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M 22x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
ZERO Sievert 2024	Est. copies ≈ 387k–628k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Extraction ShooterSurvival