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How many copies did Monolith sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
from 360 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monolith and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monolith's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 309k–638k
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like Monolith

A typical game among these

≈ 309k–638k copies

≈ $2.6M–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Female Protagonist, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Syberia
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Est. copies
≈ 432k–702k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$12.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Never Alone (Kisima Ingitchuna)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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IndieLocal Co-Op
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
Ion Fury
2019
Est. copies
≈ 196k–318k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Oxenfree
2016
Est. copies
≈ 504k–820k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 235k–382k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Visual NovelEmotional
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction

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