How much revenue did The Witch of Fern Island make?

$157k–$422k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Witch of Fern Island sell?

Q: How many copies did The Witch of Fern Island sell?

23k to 37k copies, based on its 922 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–37k; $157k–$422k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before Steam's cut; from 922 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Witch of Fern Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Witch of Fern Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 76k–127k

best case 1.7M (My Time at Portia)

Games like The Witch of Fern Island

A typical game among these

≈ 76k–127k copies

≈ $871k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: My Time at Portia at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 333 to 20k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (8 of 8) and Life Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Life Sim + Farming Sim, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Crafting + RPG + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
My Time at Sandrock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 722k–1.2M 9.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Life SimBuilding
Summer in Mara Prologue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	Hand-drawnAnime
Wanderstop 2025	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $554k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSimulation
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town 2020	Est. copies ≈ 143k–233k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Farming Sim Simulation
Summer in Mara 2020	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $300k–$808k after Steam's cut $546k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Life SimRelaxing
No Place Like Home 2022	Est. copies ≈ 102k–166k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	Farming SimCrafting
Wylde Flowers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 69k–112k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $472k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Cozy Simulation