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How many copies did Kartoffl sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kartoffl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kartoffl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–197k
best case 176k (Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2)
Games like Kartoffl

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–197k copies

≈ $692k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2 at ≈ 134k–218k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 404 reviews in their first month; the range was 319 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and VR (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Room VR: A Dark Matter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
VRHorror
Zombie Night Terror
2016
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$597k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesStrategy
I Expect You To Die 2: The Spy and the Liar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 32k–53k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$223k–$598k after Steam's cut $405k–$921k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleVR
Tin Hearts: Prologue
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
52 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPuzzle
A Fisherman's Tale
2019
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$503k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
VRPuzzle
Myst
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Obduction
2016
Est. copies
≈ 166k–270k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.