How much revenue did Tin Hearts: Prologue make?

Tin Hearts: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Tin Hearts: Prologue sell?

Q: How many copies did Tin Hearts: Prologue sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 52 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; from 52 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tin Hearts: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tin Hearts: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 781–1k

best case 17k (HUMANITY)

Games like Tin Hearts: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 781–1k copies

≈ $598–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HUMANITY at ≈ 13k–21k copies, ≈ $105k–$283k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 153.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (7 of 8) and Lemmings (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Lemmings + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
GOD'S GIFT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$11.99	24 reviews Positive	StrategyPuzzle
Terrorarium 2020	Est. copies ≈ 620–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$14.99	25 reviews Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerSandbox
Underland 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$1.99	173 reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerDestruction
HUMANITY 2023	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k 21x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut	$29.99	514 reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
How To Bathe Your Cat: Impossible Mission 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $324–$871 after Steam's cut $589–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	48 reviews Positive	CatsLemmings
Tin Hearts 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$19.99	123 reviews Very Positive	LemmingsEmotional
DOG'S DONUTS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 893–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	36 reviews Positive	PhysicsLemmings
Pow! 2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 446–725 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut	$0.99	18 reviews Positive	StrategySimulation