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How many copies did Pow! 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pow! 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pow! 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 148k–394k
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Pow! 2

A typical game among these

≈ 148k–394k copies

≈ $605k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 467 to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Physics + Sandbox, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Physics + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
45x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Heavenly Bodies
2021
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$772k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsDifficult
Snake Pass
2017
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$632k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerIndie
Moncage
2021
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Defy Gravity Extended
2016
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$803k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Song of Nunu: A League of Legends Story
2023
Est. copies
≈ 78k–126k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$641k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.