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How many copies did Snake Pass sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 115k–187k
$632k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Snake Pass and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Snake Pass's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 832k–4.1M
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Snake Pass

A typical game among these

≈ 832k–4.1M copies

≈ $4.9M–$31.2M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
A Short Hike
2019
Est. copies
≈ 661k–1.1M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$7.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationRelaxing
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Neon White
2022
Est. copies
≈ 518k–842k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPS3D Platformer
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
Death's Door
2021
Est. copies
≈ 552k–897k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CuteSouls-like

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