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How many copies did Super Mega Zero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
from 46 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Mega Zero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Mega Zero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.9M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Super Mega Zero

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.9M copies

≈ $8.5M–$46.0M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 11k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Jump King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 387k–629k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$12.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Strange Ocean
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
PhysicsIntentionally Awkward Controls
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Rooftop Renegade
2023
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$17.99
14 reviews
Positive
Action-AdventureSide Scroller
Kuggs
2022
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$428–$1k after Steam's cut $779–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
21 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerExploration

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