How much revenue did Caravan SandWitch make?

$673k–$1.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Caravan SandWitch sell?

Q: How many copies did Caravan SandWitch sell?

98k to 159k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 98k–159k; $673k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Caravan SandWitch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Caravan SandWitch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–14k

best case 54k (The Last Hope)

Games like Caravan SandWitch

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–14k copies

≈ $6k–$28k after Steam's cut

from ~193 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Last Hope at ≈ 41k–67k copies, ≈ $23k–$61k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 83.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Interactive Fiction (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Action Roguelike, priced around $2.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Last Hope 2016	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut	$1.99	989 reviews Mostly Negative	ExplorationAction Roguelike
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver \| 終焉介護 2021	Est. copies ≈ 11k–19k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut	$4.99	463 reviews Very Positive	HorrorInvestigation
Hazeron Starship 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut	$19.99	104 reviews Very Positive	ExplorationFPS
Drive Me to Hell 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$1.99	282 reviews Very Positive	ActionRacing
A Day of Maintenance 2022	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$19.99	22 reviews Positive	ExplorationDriving
Fightcore Forge 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $34–$91 after Steam's cut $62–$140 before Steam's cut	$4.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Early AccessAction
Frog Bard 2025	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut	$2.99	26 reviews Positive	CasualShort
Coaching Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut	$1.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	Early AccessSimulation