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How many copies did Fossilfuel sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 169 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fossilfuel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fossilfuel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–2.4M
best case 34.9M (Apex Legends™)
Games like Fossilfuel

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–2.4M copies

≈ $18.9M–$25.2M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Apex Legends™ at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cyberpunk (5 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + FPS. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Battle Royale + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ghostrunner
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCyberpunk
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
RoboCop: Rogue City
2023
Est. copies
≈ 931k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
ORION: Prelude
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $887k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
Deus Ex: Mankind Divided
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkStealth
Deus Ex: Human Revolution - Director's Cut
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkStealth
Fossilfuel 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$99k before Steam's cut
$19.99
175 reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationFPS
Cyber Blades - Demo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13 reviews
Mixed
Bullet HellBoxing

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.