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How many copies did 下一站江湖Ⅱ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 235k–382k
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 下一站江湖Ⅱ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 下一站江湖Ⅱ's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 37.0M–91.1M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like 下一站江湖Ⅱ

A typical game among these

≈ 37.0M–91.1M copies

≈ $415.0M–$807.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1.0M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Automobile Sim (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

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