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How many copies did Hot Pot VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hot Pot VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hot Pot VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–123k
best case 746k (Cooking Simulator)
Games like Hot Pot VR

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–123k copies

≈ $65k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~329 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cooking Simulator at ≈ 568k–923k copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 173 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Cooking (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Cooking, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter Fight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
221 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual
Counter Fight: Samurai Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
82 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction
Fast Food Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 245k–398k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
Rags to Dishes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut
$19.99
161 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual
Cooking Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 568k–923k
60x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCooking
Pizza Master VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
70 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
VR The Diner Duo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$310k before Steam's cut
$14.99
437 reviews
Very Positive
Asymmetric VRVR
Cooking Simulator VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$237k–$638k after Steam's cut $431k–$981k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive

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