How much revenue did Copycat make?

$611k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Copycat sell?

Q: How many copies did Copycat sell?

148k to 241k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 148k–241k; $611k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Copycat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Copycat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–256k

best case 523k (The Cat Lady)

Games like Copycat

A typical game among these

≈ 104k–256k copies

≈ $360k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Cat Lady at ≈ 398k–648k copies, ≈ $985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 87 reviews in their first month; the range was 27 to 661.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Cats (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Story Rich, priced around $9.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tales of the Neon Sea 2019	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$16.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsCyberpunk
Spirit of the Island 2022	Est. copies ≈ 47k–77k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $195k–$524k after Steam's cut $354k–$806k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mixed	Family FriendlyRelaxing
Shelter 2 2015	Est. copies ≈ 211k–343k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Bear's Restaurant 2021	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $65k–$174k after Steam's cut $118k–$268k before Steam's cut	$12.99	730 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
HOME 2019	Est. copies ≈ 96k–155k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	PhilosophicalRelaxing
inbento 2021	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $101k–$272k after Steam's cut $184k–$419k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualCute
The Cat Lady 2013	Est. copies ≈ 398k–648k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$8.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Horror Story Rich
Time Loader 2021	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$7.99	578 reviews Very Positive	LogicStory Rich