Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did DEAD LETTER DEPT. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–75k
$190k–$511k after Steam's cut $345k–$786k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DEAD LETTER DEPT. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEAD LETTER DEPT.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.2M
best case 4.6M (Poppy Playtime)
Games like DEAD LETTER DEPT.

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies

≈ $4.3M–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Poppy Playtime at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 13k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mystery (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + First-Person + Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Suffer The Night
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$12.49
279 reviews
Mostly Positive
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Finish Report
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $890–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
24 reviews
Positive
ExplorationTyping
Ring of Fire: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28 reviews
Positive
Villain ProtagonistInteractive Fiction
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.