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How many copies did The Last Dance Saloon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Dance Saloon and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Dance Saloon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–738k
best case 21.7M (Fallout: New Vegas)
Games like The Last Dance Saloon

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–738k copies

≈ $585k–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout: New Vegas at ≈ 16.6M–26.9M copies, ≈ $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (4 of 7) and Classic (2 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
64x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Oddworld: Stranger's Wrath HD
2010
Est. copies
≈ 115k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Standoff Beat
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Action2D Fighter
SteamWorld Dig
2013
Est. copies
≈ 698k–1.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerMining
Rez Infinite
2017
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$301k–$810k after Steam's cut $548k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
On-Rails ShooterFlight
Space Channel 5: Part 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction
EZ2ON REBOOT : R
2022
Est. copies
≈ 156k–253k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction

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