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How big is Soran?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 397–645
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Soran and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Soran's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–6.1M
best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Soran

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–6.1M copies

≈ $26.8M–$70.6M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 33k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Arena Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Arena
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
248 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction
Bane Murrain
2024
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$8.99
20 reviews
Positive
Early AccessBoomer Shooter
Shillelagh
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Arena ShooterFPS
Super Buff HD
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
71 reviews
Very Positive
Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Bodyrain
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionFPS

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