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How many copies did Bane Murrain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bane Murrain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bane Murrain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 737k–1.4M
best case 1.4M (Firework)
Games like Bane Murrain

A typical game among these

≈ 737k–1.4M copies

≈ $4.8M–$7.9M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Firework at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 100 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 778k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Choo-Choo Charles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446k–726k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 489k–795k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer
illWill
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$44k–$117k after Steam's cut $79k–$180k before Steam's cut
$19.99
320 reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
KINGDOM of the DEAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$43k–$116k after Steam's cut $79k–$179k before Steam's cut
$14.99
423 reviews
Mostly Positive
Boomer ShooterIndie

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