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How many copies did ChessCraft sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 85 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ChessCraft and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ChessCraft's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–1.3M
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like ChessCraft

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–1.3M copies

≈ $169k–$12.2M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before Steam's cut
$14.99
917 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyArtificial Intelligence
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
RUNNING WITH RIFLES
2015
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Master of Chess
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
$19.99
299 reviews
Very Positive
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game
Chess Remix - Chess variants
2023
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$14.99
10 reviews
Mixed
StrategyChess

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