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How many copies did Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 66k–107k
$181k–$487k after Steam's cut $329k–$749k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–6.7M
best case 6.4M (Kingdom Come: Deliverance II)
Games like Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–6.7M copies

≈ $44.9M–$138.5M after Steam's cut

from ~111k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kingdom Come: Deliverance II at ≈ 4.9M–7.9M copies, ≈ $80.4M–$216.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44k reviews in their first month; the range was 13k to 70k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Historical (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
Assassin's Creed® Unity
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut $72.2M–$164.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
86k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour
Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.7M after Steam's cut $39.0M–$88.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–7.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$80.4M–$216.0M after Steam's cut $146.1M–$332.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
196k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMedieval
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical

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