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How many copies did Janosik 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 86 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Janosik 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Janosik 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 310k–657k
best case 2.6M (Rain World)
Games like Janosik 2

A typical game among these

≈ 310k–657k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Survival + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer
F.I.S.T.: Forged In Shadow Torch
2021
Est. copies
≈ 181k–293k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$794k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
DuckTales: Remastered
2013
Est. copies
≈ 503k–817k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAdventure
Thank Goodness You're Here!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 211k–344k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureComedy

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