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How many copies did Miasma Chronicles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 76k–123k
$727k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Miasma Chronicles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Miasma Chronicles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 483k–491k
best case 1.3M (Battle Brothers)
Games like Miasma Chronicles

A typical game among these

≈ 483k–491k copies

≈ $4.3M–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Battle Brothers at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
1.7x vs typical
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SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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Very Positive
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Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 368k–597k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Warhammer 40KTurn-Based Strategy
XCOM®: Chimera Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 582k–947k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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The Banner Saga
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Est. copies
≈ 894k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Very Positive
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Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga
2022
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≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Very Positive
Tactical RPGRPG

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